first_img[dropcap]C[/dropcap]ouldn’t have got Derby v Burnley more wrong if I tried last night. I fancied goals. It finished 0-0. I lost the bet. That aside, it was 90 minutes of my life I won’t get back watching it. What a wretched game.Step forward Aston Villa and Birmingham into the SKY cameras tonight. The good news is you can’t do any worse than last night.It’s a Capital One Cup game but (in the style of the M&S adverts) this isn’t just any Capital One Cup game but a Capital One Cup derby game !!Villa have a great home record against their local rivals who have not won here since 2004.Birmingham have started the season better in their respective leagues and won this tournament in 2011 but have only gone beyond the third round once since then.Birmingham’s boss Gary Rowett is not exactly playing down his teams chances: “We’re in a really good place. We’re flying high in the league, we’ve only lost one game this season. We’ve got everything to look forward to. There’s no pressure on us. Where Villa are in the league, where they are with their season, there’s more pressure on them to win, so we can go there a little bit freer.”Villa will be without midfielder Idrissa Gueye who has a hamstring problem. Jores Okore (knee) and Adama Traore (ankle) are also expected to miss the match.Birmingham will be without defender Neal Eardley who has a dislocated shoulder which could keep in out for at least six weeks.Aston Villa v Birmingham CityCapital One Cup 3rd Round19:45 Sky Sports 1 / Sky Sports 1 HDHEAD TO HEAD RECORD(Maximum 10 matches)Jan 2011 PREMIER Birmingham 1-1 Aston VillaDec 2010 CARLING CUP Birmingham 2-1 Aston VillaOct 2010 PREMIER Aston Villa 0-0 BirminghamApr 2010 PREMIER Aston Villa 1-0 BirminghamSep 2009 PREMIER Birmingham 0-1 Aston VillaApr 2008 PREMIER Aston Villa 5-1 BirminghamNov 2007 PREMIER Birmingham 1-2 Aston VillaApr 2006 PREMIERSHIP Aston Villa 3-1 BirminghamOct 2005 PREMIERSHIP Birmingham 0-1 Aston VillaMar 2005 PREMIERSHIP Birmingham 2-0 Aston VillaAfter last night it should be a case of once bitten, twice shy, but I fancy goals again and am backing over 2.5 goals at around 10/11 with Star Sports.RECOMMENDED BETS (scale of 1-50 points)BACK OVER 2.5 GOALS for 10 points at 10/11 with Star SportsRETURN SINCE START OF WORLD CUP: PROFIT 224.45 POINTSWhat’s your view? CALL STAR SPORTS 08000 521 321last_img

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